diff --git a/docs/api/openapi.yaml b/docs/api/openapi.yaml
index 58dc9d0be..1013348a3 100644
--- a/docs/api/openapi.yaml
+++ b/docs/api/openapi.yaml
@@ -29688,11 +29688,22 @@ components:
               - analyte
               - reason
             additionalProperties: false
+        outcome:
+          type: string
+          enum:
+            - empty
+            - failed
+            - partial
+            - success
+          description: How the commit reads, resolved from the counts rather than the status code. `success` only when every
+            confirmed row was written; `partial` when some were skipped; `failed` when nothing was written and at least
+            one row was skipped; `empty` when there was nothing to write.
       required:
         - inserted
         - skipped
+        - outcome
       additionalProperties: false
-      description: 'The rows written (`source: "OCR"`) and those skipped as commit-time duplicates.'
+      description: 'The rows written (`source: "OCR"`), those skipped as commit-time duplicates, and the resolved outcome.'
     OcrCommittedLabResult:
       type: object
       properties:
diff --git a/src/app/api/fitbit/sync/route.ts b/src/app/api/fitbit/sync/route.ts
index 2f7641fc7..00be8309a 100644
--- a/src/app/api/fitbit/sync/route.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/fitbit/sync/route.ts
@@ -3,6 +3,7 @@ import { apiSuccess, apiError } from "@/lib/api-response";
 import { checkRateLimit } from "@/lib/rate-limit";
 import { annotate } from "@/lib/logging/context";
 import { syncUserFitbit } from "@/lib/fitbit/sync";
+import { resolveSyncOutcome } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 import { NextRequest } from "next/server";
 
 /**
@@ -58,6 +59,9 @@ export const POST = apiHandler(async (request: NextRequest) => {
     }
   }
 
-  const { imported } = await syncUserFitbit(user.id, { fullSync });
-  return apiSuccess({ imported, fullSync });
+  // The verdict is resolved here, not in the card: a run that imported nothing
+  // because every resource failed is not the same answer as a quiet hour, and
+  // both used to render as a green tick with a count.
+  const result = await syncUserFitbit(user.id, { fullSync });
+  return apiSuccess({ ...resolveSyncOutcome(result), fullSync });
 });
diff --git a/src/app/api/google-health/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts b/src/app/api/google-health/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
index 63b9686ab..e51d4df0d 100644
--- a/src/app/api/google-health/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/google-health/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
@@ -56,6 +56,28 @@ describe("POST /api/google-health/sync", () => {
     expect(envelope.error).toBe("Google Health sync failed");
   });
 
+  it("reports a run that failed after writing some resources as a partial", async () => {
+    // A 502 threw the honest half away: rows DID land, and the card showed the
+    // generic error instead of "imported N, some data is behind".
+    vi.mocked(syncUserGoogleHealth).mockResolvedValue({
+      imported: 7,
+      failed: true,
+    });
+
+    const response = await POST(request());
+    const envelope = (await response.json()) as {
+      data: { imported: number; failed: boolean; outcome: string };
+      error: string | null;
+    };
+
+    expect(response.status).toBe(200);
+    expect(envelope.data).toMatchObject({
+      imported: 7,
+      failed: true,
+      outcome: "partial",
+    });
+  });
+
   it("keeps the successful imported-count response unchanged", async () => {
     vi.mocked(syncUserGoogleHealth).mockResolvedValue({
       imported: 7,
@@ -70,7 +92,7 @@ describe("POST /api/google-health/sync", () => {
 
     expect(response.status).toBe(200);
     expect(envelope).toEqual({
-      data: { imported: 7, fullSync: false },
+      data: { imported: 7, failed: false, outcome: "success", fullSync: false },
       error: null,
     });
     expect(syncUserGoogleHealth).toHaveBeenCalledWith("u1", {
diff --git a/src/app/api/google-health/sync/route.ts b/src/app/api/google-health/sync/route.ts
index b504ba329..2cb7b99b3 100644
--- a/src/app/api/google-health/sync/route.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/google-health/sync/route.ts
@@ -3,6 +3,7 @@ import { apiSuccess, apiError } from "@/lib/api-response";
 import { checkRateLimit } from "@/lib/rate-limit";
 import { annotate } from "@/lib/logging/context";
 import { syncUserGoogleHealth } from "@/lib/google-health/sync";
+import { resolveSyncOutcome } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 import { NextRequest } from "next/server";
 
 /**
@@ -55,11 +56,12 @@ export const POST = apiHandler(async (request: NextRequest) => {
     }
   }
 
-  const { imported, failed } = await syncUserGoogleHealth(user.id, {
-    fullSync,
-  });
-  if (failed) {
+  const result = await syncUserGoogleHealth(user.id, { fullSync });
+  // A run that failed AND wrote nothing is an error, as it always was. A run
+  // that failed after writing some of its resources is a partial, and answering
+  // 502 for it threw away the honest half of the result.
+  if (result.failed && result.imported === 0) {
     return apiError("Google Health sync failed", 502);
   }
-  return apiSuccess({ imported, fullSync });
+  return apiSuccess({ ...resolveSyncOutcome(result), fullSync });
 });
diff --git a/src/app/api/labs/ocr/commit/route.ts b/src/app/api/labs/ocr/commit/route.ts
index 5d3f37b82..42b6b1d77 100644
--- a/src/app/api/labs/ocr/commit/route.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/labs/ocr/commit/route.ts
@@ -9,6 +9,11 @@
  *
  * `userId` is always narrowed from the session — never a body field. The write
  * `data` object is built field-by-field (no mass assignment).
+ *
+ * The response carries the resolved `outcome` alongside the two lists. The
+ * dialog used to raise a green toast on any 200, so a re-scan in which every
+ * confirmed row turned out to be a duplicate reported "saved 0 readings" under
+ * a tick. The verdict is the server's to compute; the dialog only renders it.
  */
 import { NextRequest } from "next/server";
 import { fireAndForget } from "@/lib/logging/fire-and-forget";
@@ -33,6 +38,7 @@ import {
   type InsertedLabForLink,
 } from "@/lib/labs/vault-link";
 import { annotate } from "@/lib/logging/context";
+import { classifyWrittenOutcome } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 import {
   ocrCommitSchema,
   type OcrCommitRow,
@@ -235,5 +241,12 @@ async function commitOcrRows(request: NextRequest) {
     }
   }
 
-  return apiSuccess({ inserted, skipped });
+  return apiSuccess({
+    inserted,
+    skipped,
+    outcome: classifyWrittenOutcome({
+      written: inserted.length,
+      skipped: skipped.length,
+    }),
+  });
 }
diff --git a/src/app/api/nightscout/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts b/src/app/api/nightscout/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
index a133cb8c5..15585a50b 100644
--- a/src/app/api/nightscout/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/nightscout/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
@@ -57,18 +57,65 @@ beforeEach(() => {
 
 describe("POST /api/nightscout/sync", () => {
   it("syncs the session user and answers with the freshly inserted count", async () => {
-    vi.mocked(syncUserNightscout).mockResolvedValue(36);
+    vi.mocked(syncUserNightscout).mockResolvedValue({
+      imported: 36,
+      failed: false,
+    });
 
     const response = await post(request());
 
     expect(response.status).toBe(200);
     expect(await envelope(response)).toEqual({
-      data: { imported: 36 },
+      data: { imported: 36, failed: false, outcome: "success" },
       error: null,
     });
     expect(syncUserNightscout).toHaveBeenCalledWith("u1");
   });
 
+  it("does not call a window whose every row was refused a success", async () => {
+    // The defect: 200 + `imported: 0` rendered as a green tick with a count,
+    // when in fact not one SGV row reached the database.
+    vi.mocked(syncUserNightscout).mockResolvedValue({
+      imported: 0,
+      failed: true,
+    });
+
+    const response = await post(request());
+
+    expect(response.status).toBe(200);
+    expect((await envelope(response)).data).toEqual({
+      imported: 0,
+      failed: true,
+      outcome: "failed",
+    });
+  });
+
+  it("calls a window that wrote some rows and lost others a partial", async () => {
+    vi.mocked(syncUserNightscout).mockResolvedValue({
+      imported: 30,
+      failed: true,
+    });
+
+    const response = await post(request());
+
+    expect((await envelope(response)).data).toMatchObject({
+      outcome: "partial",
+    });
+  });
+
+  it("calls a window that found nothing new empty, not a success", async () => {
+    vi.mocked(syncUserNightscout).mockResolvedValue({
+      imported: 0,
+      failed: false,
+    });
+
+    const response = await post(request());
+
+    expect((await envelope(response)).data).toMatchObject({
+      outcome: "empty",
+    });
+  });
+
   it("refuses an unauthenticated caller before syncing anything", async () => {
     vi.mocked(requireAuth).mockRejectedValue(
       new HttpError(401, "Not authenticated"),
diff --git a/src/app/api/nightscout/sync/route.ts b/src/app/api/nightscout/sync/route.ts
index 1c379ce79..99504bb4d 100644
--- a/src/app/api/nightscout/sync/route.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/nightscout/sync/route.ts
@@ -3,12 +3,15 @@ import { apiSuccess, apiError } from "@/lib/api-response";
 import { checkRateLimit } from "@/lib/rate-limit";
 import { annotate } from "@/lib/logging/context";
 import { syncUserNightscout } from "@/lib/nightscout/sync";
+import { resolveSyncOutcome } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 
 /**
  * Manually trigger a Nightscout sync for the current user (v1.32.28).
  *
  * Pulls the recent SGV window from the configured instance; `imported` counts
- * the readings that were genuinely new this run, not the ones re-confirmed.
+ * the readings that were genuinely new this run, not the ones re-confirmed,
+ * and `outcome` says how that count reads — a window in which every row was
+ * refused by a constraint imports 0 and must not answer like a quiet night.
  *
  * No body and no `fullSync` flag: there is no full-history arm to call.
  *
@@ -34,8 +37,8 @@ export const POST = apiHandler(async () => {
   }
 
   try {
-    const imported = await syncUserNightscout(user.id);
-    return apiSuccess({ imported });
+    const result = await syncUserNightscout(user.id);
+    return apiSuccess(resolveSyncOutcome(result));
   } catch {
     return apiError("Nightscout sync failed", 502);
   }
diff --git a/src/app/api/oura/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts b/src/app/api/oura/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
index 8dd1fd51a..eea02fca6 100644
--- a/src/app/api/oura/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/oura/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
@@ -53,19 +53,30 @@ beforeEach(() => {
 
 describe("POST /api/oura/sync", () => {
   it("syncs the session user and answers with the imported count", async () => {
-    vi.mocked(syncUserOura).mockResolvedValue(12);
+    vi.mocked(syncUserOura).mockResolvedValue({ imported: 12, failed: false });
 
     const response = await post(request());
 
     expect(response.status).toBe(200);
     expect(await envelope(response)).toEqual({
-      data: { imported: 12 },
+      data: { imported: 12, failed: false, outcome: "success" },
       error: null,
     });
     // The id comes from the session, never from the request.
     expect(syncUserOura).toHaveBeenCalledWith("u1");
   });
 
+  it("does not call a run whose every collection failed a success", async () => {
+    vi.mocked(syncUserOura).mockResolvedValue({ imported: 0, failed: true });
+
+    const response = await post(request());
+
+    expect(response.status).toBe(200);
+    expect((await envelope(response)).data).toMatchObject({
+      outcome: "failed",
+    });
+  });
+
   it("refuses an unauthenticated caller before syncing anything", async () => {
     vi.mocked(requireAuth).mockRejectedValue(
       new HttpError(401, "Not authenticated"),
diff --git a/src/app/api/oura/sync/route.ts b/src/app/api/oura/sync/route.ts
index 98602ed80..3f47ab631 100644
--- a/src/app/api/oura/sync/route.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/oura/sync/route.ts
@@ -2,6 +2,7 @@ import { apiHandler, requireAuth } from "@/lib/api-handler";
 import { apiSuccess, apiError } from "@/lib/api-response";
 import { checkRateLimit } from "@/lib/rate-limit";
 import { annotate } from "@/lib/logging/context";
+import { resolveSyncOutcome } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 import { syncUserOura } from "@/lib/oura/sync";
 
 /**
@@ -31,8 +32,8 @@ export const POST = apiHandler(async () => {
   }
 
   try {
-    const imported = await syncUserOura(user.id);
-    return apiSuccess({ imported });
+    const result = await syncUserOura(user.id);
+    return apiSuccess(resolveSyncOutcome(result));
   } catch {
     // The failure is already on the `oura` ledger, classified by the provider
     // that owns the error shape. Answer generically — an upstream message can
diff --git a/src/app/api/polar/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts b/src/app/api/polar/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
index f18d71c4f..a3f870aed 100644
--- a/src/app/api/polar/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/polar/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
@@ -67,26 +67,40 @@ beforeEach(() => {
   vi.clearAllMocks();
   vi.mocked(checkRateLimit).mockResolvedValue({ allowed: true } as never);
   vi.mocked(requireAuth).mockResolvedValue({ user: { id: "u1" } } as never);
-  syncUserPolarMock.mockResolvedValue(0);
+  syncUserPolarMock.mockResolvedValue({ imported: 0, failed: false });
   syncUserPolarWorkoutsMock.mockResolvedValue(0);
 });
 
 describe("POST /api/polar/sync", () => {
   it("runs both Polar legs and totals what they imported", async () => {
-    syncUserPolarMock.mockResolvedValue(5);
+    syncUserPolarMock.mockResolvedValue({ imported: 5, failed: false });
     syncUserPolarWorkoutsMock.mockResolvedValue(2);
 
     const response = await post(request());
 
     expect(response.status).toBe(200);
     expect(await envelope(response)).toEqual({
-      data: { imported: 7 },
+      data: { imported: 7, failed: false, outcome: "success" },
       error: null,
     });
     expect(syncUserPolarMock).toHaveBeenCalledWith("u1");
     expect(syncUserPolarWorkoutsMock).toHaveBeenCalledWith("u1");
   });
 
+  it("does not call a run whose vitals collections all failed a success", async () => {
+    syncUserPolarMock.mockResolvedValue({ imported: 0, failed: true });
+    syncUserPolarWorkoutsMock.mockResolvedValue(0);
+
+    const response = await post(request());
+
+    expect(response.status).toBe(200);
+    expect((await envelope(response)).data).toEqual({
+      imported: 0,
+      failed: true,
+      outcome: "failed",
+    });
+  });
+
   it("goes through the shared legs entry point, not the provider internals", () => {
     const source = readFileSync(join(__dirname, "..", "route.ts"), "utf8");
     expect(source).toContain("syncUserPolarLegs");
diff --git a/src/app/api/polar/sync/route.ts b/src/app/api/polar/sync/route.ts
index 01b528dcd..f743459af 100644
--- a/src/app/api/polar/sync/route.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/polar/sync/route.ts
@@ -3,6 +3,7 @@ import { apiSuccess, apiError } from "@/lib/api-response";
 import { checkRateLimit } from "@/lib/rate-limit";
 import { annotate } from "@/lib/logging/context";
 import { syncUserPolarLegs } from "@/lib/jobs/reminder/polar-sync";
+import { resolveSyncOutcome } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 
 /**
  * Manually trigger a Polar sync for the current user (v1.32.28).
@@ -31,8 +32,8 @@ export const POST = apiHandler(async () => {
   }
 
   try {
-    const imported = await syncUserPolarLegs(user.id);
-    return apiSuccess({ imported });
+    const result = await syncUserPolarLegs(user.id);
+    return apiSuccess(resolveSyncOutcome(result));
   } catch {
     // Both legs record their own classified failure on the `polar` ledger.
     // Answer generically so no upstream detail rides the response body.
diff --git a/src/app/api/strava/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts b/src/app/api/strava/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
index 45fcd1bcf..c72617871 100644
--- a/src/app/api/strava/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/strava/sync/__tests__/route.test.ts
@@ -60,7 +60,7 @@ describe("POST /api/strava/sync", () => {
 
     expect(response.status).toBe(200);
     expect(await envelope(response)).toEqual({
-      data: { imported: 4 },
+      data: { imported: 4, failed: false, outcome: "success" },
       error: null,
     });
     expect(syncUserStrava).toHaveBeenCalledWith("u1");
diff --git a/src/app/api/strava/sync/route.ts b/src/app/api/strava/sync/route.ts
index 0c36326cd..8810ccb64 100644
--- a/src/app/api/strava/sync/route.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/strava/sync/route.ts
@@ -2,6 +2,7 @@ import { apiHandler, requireAuth } from "@/lib/api-handler";
 import { apiSuccess, apiError } from "@/lib/api-response";
 import { checkRateLimit } from "@/lib/rate-limit";
 import { annotate } from "@/lib/logging/context";
+import { resolveSyncOutcome } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 import { syncUserStrava } from "@/lib/strava/sync";
 
 /**
@@ -28,7 +29,11 @@ export const POST = apiHandler(async () => {
 
   try {
     const imported = await syncUserStrava(user.id);
-    return apiSuccess({ imported });
+    // `failed: false` is a statement, not a placeholder: the Strava walk has no
+    // settled-but-partial arm. `upsertStravaWorkouts` rethrows the first row
+    // error after attempting the batch and the page walk rethrows its own, so
+    // reaching this line means every fetched activity was written.
+    return apiSuccess(resolveSyncOutcome({ imported, failed: false }));
   } catch {
     // Already recorded on the `strava` ledger with its classification. Answer
     // generically so no upstream detail rides the response body.
diff --git a/src/app/api/whoop/sync/route.ts b/src/app/api/whoop/sync/route.ts
index d3a331aca..1a7579cfe 100644
--- a/src/app/api/whoop/sync/route.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/whoop/sync/route.ts
@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
 import { apiHandler, requireAuth } from "@/lib/api-handler";
 import { apiSuccess, apiError } from "@/lib/api-response";
 import { annotate } from "@/lib/logging/context";
+import { resolveSyncOutcome } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 import { syncUserWhoop } from "@/lib/whoop/sync";
 import { NextRequest } from "next/server";
 
@@ -27,6 +28,8 @@ export const POST = apiHandler(async (request: NextRequest) => {
     // no body provided -> default incremental sync
   }
 
-  const { imported } = await syncUserWhoop(user.id, { fullSync });
-  return apiSuccess({ imported, fullSync });
+  // Resolved server-side so the card and the native client cannot disagree on
+  // how the same run reads.
+  const result = await syncUserWhoop(user.id, { fullSync });
+  return apiSuccess({ ...resolveSyncOutcome(result), fullSync });
 });
diff --git a/src/app/api/withings/sync/route.ts b/src/app/api/withings/sync/route.ts
index f881d62d8..508f8cc4a 100644
--- a/src/app/api/withings/sync/route.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/withings/sync/route.ts
@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
 import { apiHandler, requireAuth } from "@/lib/api-handler";
 import { apiSuccess, apiError } from "@/lib/api-response";
 import { annotate } from "@/lib/logging/context";
+import { resolveSyncOutcome } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 import { syncUserMeasurements } from "@/lib/withings/sync";
 import { NextRequest } from "next/server";
 
@@ -24,8 +25,6 @@ export const POST = apiHandler(async (request: NextRequest) => {
     // no body provided -> default incremental sync
   }
 
-  const imported = await syncUserMeasurements(user.id, {
-    fullSync,
-  });
-  return apiSuccess({ imported, fullSync });
+  const result = await syncUserMeasurements(user.id, { fullSync });
+  return apiSuccess({ ...resolveSyncOutcome(result), fullSync });
 });
diff --git a/src/lib/jobs/reminder/__tests__/polar-sync-legs.test.ts b/src/lib/jobs/reminder/__tests__/polar-sync-legs.test.ts
index 557cf14e5..9ea8874ce 100644
--- a/src/lib/jobs/reminder/__tests__/polar-sync-legs.test.ts
+++ b/src/lib/jobs/reminder/__tests__/polar-sync-legs.test.ts
@@ -17,15 +17,18 @@ import { syncUserPolarLegs } from "../polar-sync";
 
 beforeEach(() => {
   vi.clearAllMocks();
-  syncUserPolar.mockResolvedValue(0);
+  syncUserPolar.mockResolvedValue({ imported: 0, failed: false });
   syncUserPolarWorkouts.mockResolvedValue(0);
 });
 
 describe("syncUserPolarLegs — composite independence on the shared polar ledger", () => {
   it("runs both legs and returns the summed count when both pass", async () => {
-    syncUserPolar.mockResolvedValue(5);
+    syncUserPolar.mockResolvedValue({ imported: 5, failed: false });
     syncUserPolarWorkouts.mockResolvedValue(2);
-    await expect(syncUserPolarLegs("u1")).resolves.toBe(7);
+    await expect(syncUserPolarLegs("u1")).resolves.toEqual({
+      imported: 7,
+      failed: false,
+    });
     expect(syncUserPolar).toHaveBeenCalledWith("u1");
     expect(syncUserPolarWorkouts).toHaveBeenCalledWith("u1");
   });
@@ -35,9 +38,15 @@ describe("syncUserPolarLegs — composite independence on the shared polar ledge
     // its healthy-collections import count rather than throwing. The wrapper
     // must sum it with the workout leg and complete cleanly — a partial vitals
     // failure never starves the user's success accounting at the cohort level.
-    syncUserPolar.mockResolvedValue(4);
+    syncUserPolar.mockResolvedValue({ imported: 4, failed: true });
     syncUserPolarWorkouts.mockResolvedValue(2);
-    await expect(syncUserPolarLegs("u1")).resolves.toBe(6);
+    // The partial is carried, not swallowed: the wrapper completes with the
+    // summed count AND says a leg did not settle, so the card cannot paint a
+    // run in which four of five collections failed as a clean one.
+    await expect(syncUserPolarLegs("u1")).resolves.toEqual({
+      imported: 6,
+      failed: true,
+    });
     expect(syncUserPolar).toHaveBeenCalledWith("u1");
     expect(syncUserPolarWorkouts).toHaveBeenCalledWith("u1");
   });
@@ -52,7 +61,7 @@ describe("syncUserPolarLegs — composite independence on the shared polar ledge
   });
 
   it("leaves the vitals leg's result intact when the workout leg fails", async () => {
-    syncUserPolar.mockResolvedValue(4);
+    syncUserPolar.mockResolvedValue({ imported: 4, failed: false });
     syncUserPolarWorkouts.mockRejectedValue(new Error("workouts down"));
     // The vitals leg ran to completion (its own success already recorded on
     // the shared ledger); the workout error is surfaced without undoing it.
diff --git a/src/lib/jobs/reminder/nightscout-sync.ts b/src/lib/jobs/reminder/nightscout-sync.ts
index 76cbc7b57..01bb0b25c 100644
--- a/src/lib/jobs/reminder/nightscout-sync.ts
+++ b/src/lib/jobs/reminder/nightscout-sync.ts
@@ -27,7 +27,9 @@ export const handleNightscoutSync = makePollCohortHandler({
     });
     return users.map((u) => u.id);
   },
-  syncUser: syncUserNightscout,
+  // The cohort accounts in rows imported; the failure half of the result is
+  // recorded on the `nightscout` ledger by the sync itself.
+  syncUser: async (userId) => (await syncUserNightscout(userId)).imported,
   // The fetch path already records + marks its own failure (token-redacted), so
   // this fires only for a future UNMARKED escape — and redacts the token before
   // the message reaches the ledger.
diff --git a/src/lib/jobs/reminder/oura-sync.ts b/src/lib/jobs/reminder/oura-sync.ts
index a22d2f9ad..0b7c0288d 100644
--- a/src/lib/jobs/reminder/oura-sync.ts
+++ b/src/lib/jobs/reminder/oura-sync.ts
@@ -21,7 +21,9 @@ export const handleOuraSync = makePollCohortHandler({
     });
     return users.map((u) => u.id);
   },
-  syncUser: syncUserOura,
+  // The cohort accounts in rows imported; the failure half of the result is
+  // recorded on the `oura` ledger by the sync itself.
+  syncUser: async (userId) => (await syncUserOura(userId)).imported,
   // Catches an UNMARKED escape — today the `upsertOuraMeasurements` write-path
   // throw (the fetch/refresh path already records + marks its own failures).
   recordFailure: recordOuraSyncFailure,
diff --git a/src/lib/jobs/reminder/polar-sync.ts b/src/lib/jobs/reminder/polar-sync.ts
index ee7c80253..97dd8dd50 100644
--- a/src/lib/jobs/reminder/polar-sync.ts
+++ b/src/lib/jobs/reminder/polar-sync.ts
@@ -15,6 +15,7 @@
  */
 import { recordPolarSyncFailure, syncUserPolar } from "@/lib/polar/sync";
 import { syncUserPolarWorkouts } from "@/lib/polar/sync-workouts";
+import type { SyncWriteResult } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 import { makePollCohortHandler, type PollCohortPayload } from "./poll-cohort";
 
 export type PolarSyncPayload = PollCohortPayload;
@@ -34,13 +35,21 @@ export type PolarSyncPayload = PollCohortPayload;
  * healthy collections. So the vitals leg reaching this wrapper's catch means a
  * write-path/unexpected error, not a collection fetch failure.
  */
-export async function syncUserPolarLegs(userId: string): Promise<number> {
+export async function syncUserPolarLegs(
+  userId: string,
+): Promise<SyncWriteResult> {
   let total = 0;
   let firstError: unknown;
   let hadError = false;
+  // A settled-but-partial vitals leg neither throws nor reduces the count, so
+  // it has to be carried explicitly — otherwise a run in which four of five
+  // collections failed reads exactly like a clean one.
+  let partial = false;
 
   try {
-    total += await syncUserPolar(userId);
+    const vitals = await syncUserPolar(userId);
+    total += vitals.imported;
+    partial = vitals.failed;
   } catch (err) {
     firstError = err;
     hadError = true;
@@ -56,7 +65,7 @@ export async function syncUserPolarLegs(userId: string): Promise<number> {
   }
 
   if (hadError) throw firstError;
-  return total;
+  return { imported: total, failed: partial };
 }
 
 export const handlePolarSync = makePollCohortHandler({
@@ -68,7 +77,9 @@ export const handlePolarSync = makePollCohortHandler({
     });
     return users.map((u) => u.id);
   },
-  syncUser: syncUserPolarLegs,
+  // The cohort accounts in rows imported; a partial vitals leg is already on
+  // the `polar` ledger, recorded by the leg that saw it.
+  syncUser: async (userId) => (await syncUserPolarLegs(userId)).imported,
   // Catches an UNMARKED escape — the `upsertPolarMeasurements` /
   // `upsertPolarWorkouts` write-path throw. The vitals leg records its own
   // per-collection partial failures inline and returns without rethrowing; the
diff --git a/src/lib/jobs/reminder/withings-sync.ts b/src/lib/jobs/reminder/withings-sync.ts
index 96be0b354..d5ac1ab35 100644
--- a/src/lib/jobs/reminder/withings-sync.ts
+++ b/src/lib/jobs/reminder/withings-sync.ts
@@ -76,7 +76,7 @@ export async function handleWithingsFallbackSync(
 
       for (const connection of connections) {
         try {
-          const imported = await syncUserMeasurements(connection.userId);
+          const { imported } = await syncUserMeasurements(connection.userId);
           usersSynced++;
           measurementsImported += imported;
           // v1.18.1 — a fresh reading landed; resolve this user's Vorsorge
diff --git a/src/lib/nightscout/__tests__/sync.test.ts b/src/lib/nightscout/__tests__/sync.test.ts
index 770eb67d4..2d903a3ec 100644
--- a/src/lib/nightscout/__tests__/sync.test.ts
+++ b/src/lib/nightscout/__tests__/sync.test.ts
@@ -90,18 +90,18 @@ afterEach(() => {
 });
 
 describe("syncUserNightscout", () => {
-  it("returns 0 and records nothing when the user is not configured", async () => {
+  it("returns an empty result and records nothing when the user is not configured", async () => {
     getCredsMock.mockResolvedValue(null);
-    const n = await syncUserNightscout("u1");
-    expect(n).toBe(0);
+    const result = await syncUserNightscout("u1");
+    expect(result).toEqual({ imported: 0, failed: false });
     expect(fetchSgvEntriesMock).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
     expect(recordSuccessMock).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
   });
 
   it("writes each SGV entry as a BLOOD_GLUCOSE mg/dL measurement", async () => {
     fetchSgvEntriesMock.mockResolvedValue([ENTRY_A, ENTRY_B]);
-    const n = await syncUserNightscout("u1");
-    expect(n).toBe(2);
+    const result = await syncUserNightscout("u1");
+    expect(result).toEqual({ imported: 2, failed: false });
     expect(upsertMock).toHaveBeenCalledTimes(2);
     const first = upsertMock.mock.calls[0]![0];
     expect(first.create.type).toBe("BLOOD_GLUCOSE");
@@ -146,11 +146,11 @@ describe("syncUserNightscout", () => {
     // ENTRY_A already exists (a re-confirm); ENTRY_B is genuinely new.
     findManyMock.mockResolvedValue([{ externalId: "ns:abc" }]);
 
-    const n = await syncUserNightscout("u1");
+    const result = await syncUserNightscout("u1");
 
     // The inflated insert+reconfirm count used to fire the reminder-satisfy
     // trigger every tick; the honest count is the single fresh insert.
-    expect(n).toBe(1);
+    expect(result).toEqual({ imported: 1, failed: false });
     // Both rows are still written (idempotent), but only the fresh one emits.
     expect(upsertMock).toHaveBeenCalledTimes(2);
     expect(emitArrivalsMock).toHaveBeenCalledTimes(1);
@@ -172,10 +172,12 @@ describe("syncUserNightscout", () => {
       .mockResolvedValueOnce({ id: "r1" })
       .mockRejectedValueOnce(new Error("bad row"));
 
-    const n = await syncUserNightscout("u1");
+    const result = await syncUserNightscout("u1");
 
-    // The one good row still landed; the tick is honest about the failed row.
-    expect(n).toBe(1);
+    // The one good row still landed; the tick is honest about the failed row —
+    // the count alone used to narrow that away, so the card called a window in
+    // which nothing wrote a success.
+    expect(result).toEqual({ imported: 1, failed: true });
     expect(recordSuccessMock).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
     expect(recordFailureMock).toHaveBeenCalledWith(
       expect.objectContaining({
diff --git a/src/lib/nightscout/sync.ts b/src/lib/nightscout/sync.ts
index 44588d512..724ccf46b 100644
--- a/src/lib/nightscout/sync.ts
+++ b/src/lib/nightscout/sync.ts
@@ -30,6 +30,7 @@ import {
   type FailureKind,
 } from "@/lib/integrations/status";
 import type { IntegrationClassification } from "@/lib/integrations/http-status-classifier";
+import type { SyncWriteResult } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 import {
   collapseToTypeDayKeys,
   recomputeBucketsForMeasurement,
@@ -122,19 +123,28 @@ export function classifyNightscoutFailure(err: unknown): FailureKind {
 }
 
 /**
- * Sync one user's recent SGV entries. Returns the count of rows FRESHLY
- * INSERTED this tick (re-confirmed rows the upsert merely touched are not
- * counted — the old insert+reconfirm total inflated the cohort's
- * `measurements_imported` and fired the reminder-satisfy trigger every tick
- * regardless of whether new glucose actually arrived). A user with no
- * configured instance is a clean no-op (returns 0, touches no status row).
+ * Sync one user's recent SGV entries.
+ *
+ * `imported` counts the rows FRESHLY INSERTED this tick (re-confirmed rows the
+ * upsert merely touched are not counted — the old insert+reconfirm total
+ * inflated the cohort's `measurements_imported` and fired the reminder-satisfy
+ * trigger every tick regardless of whether new glucose actually arrived).
+ * `failed` is true when any SGV row did not write.
+ *
+ * The count used to be the whole return value, which narrowed the failures
+ * away: a tick where every row was refused answered the same `0` as a tick
+ * that found nothing new, and the settings card rendered both as a green tick
+ * with a count. The caller now gets both halves and decides.
+ *
+ * A user with no configured instance is a clean no-op (nothing imported,
+ * nothing failed, no status row touched).
  */
 export async function syncUserNightscout(
   userId: string,
   opts: { count?: number } = {},
-): Promise<number> {
+): Promise<SyncWriteResult> {
   const creds = await getUserNightscoutCredentials(userId);
-  if (!creds) return 0;
+  if (!creds) return { imported: 0, failed: false };
 
   let entries: ParsedSgvEntry[];
   try {
@@ -168,11 +178,11 @@ export async function syncUserNightscout(
       kind: "transient",
       message: `${failedRows} of ${entries.length} SGV rows failed to write`,
     });
-    return inserted;
+    return { imported: inserted, failed: true };
   }
 
   await recordSyncSuccess(userId, "nightscout");
-  return inserted;
+  return { imported: inserted, failed: false };
 }
 
 /**
diff --git a/src/lib/openapi/routes/ocr.ts b/src/lib/openapi/routes/ocr.ts
index 6850f0f0a..2493c1f56 100644
--- a/src/lib/openapi/routes/ocr.ts
+++ b/src/lib/openapi/routes/ocr.ts
@@ -105,11 +105,15 @@ const commitResponse = z
         reason: z.literal("duplicate"),
       }),
     ),
+    outcome: z.enum(["empty", "failed", "partial", "success"]).meta({
+      description:
+        "How the commit reads, resolved from the counts rather than the status code. `success` only when every confirmed row was written; `partial` when some were skipped; `failed` when nothing was written and at least one row was skipped; `empty` when there was nothing to write.",
+    }),
   })
   .meta({
     id: "OcrCommitResponse",
     description:
-      'The rows written (`source: "OCR"`) and those skipped as commit-time duplicates.',
+      'The rows written (`source: "OCR"`), those skipped as commit-time duplicates, and the resolved outcome.',
   });
 
 export const ocrPaths: NonNullable<ZodOpenApiObject["paths"]> = {
diff --git a/src/lib/oura/__tests__/sync.test.ts b/src/lib/oura/__tests__/sync.test.ts
index 2e13277b9..7851a749a 100644
--- a/src/lib/oura/__tests__/sync.test.ts
+++ b/src/lib/oura/__tests__/sync.test.ts
@@ -220,7 +220,7 @@ function createdRows() {
 describe("syncUserOura", () => {
   it("no-ops cleanly when unconnected", async () => {
     getConnMock.mockResolvedValue(null);
-    expect(await syncUserOura("u1")).toBe(0);
+    expect(await syncUserOura("u1")).toEqual({ imported: 0, failed: false });
     expect(recordSuccessMock).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
   });
 
@@ -229,7 +229,7 @@ describe("syncUserOura", () => {
     fetchReadinessMock.mockResolvedValue([
       { id: "x", day: "2026-06-10", score: 84 },
     ]);
-    const imported = await syncUserOura("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserOura("u1");
     expect(imported).toBe(1);
     const row = createdRows()[0];
     expect(row).toMatchObject({
@@ -253,7 +253,7 @@ describe("syncUserOura", () => {
       refresh_token: "newRef",
       expires_in: 86400,
     });
-    const imported = await syncUserOura("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserOura("u1");
     expect(refreshMock).toHaveBeenCalledWith("ref", expect.anything());
     expect(storeTokensMock).toHaveBeenCalledWith(
       "u1",
@@ -278,7 +278,7 @@ describe("syncUserOura", () => {
     // A concurrent sync rotated first → the persist returns the PEER's token.
     storeTokensMock.mockResolvedValue("peerAcc");
 
-    const imported = await syncUserOura("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserOura("u1");
 
     // The retry runs with the peer's token rather than the invalidated one.
     expect(fetchReadinessMock).toHaveBeenLastCalledWith(
@@ -461,7 +461,7 @@ describe("syncUserOura", () => {
     fetchResilienceMock.mockResolvedValue([
       { id: "r", day: "2026-06-10", level: "strong" },
     ]);
-    const imported = await syncUserOura("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserOura("u1");
     expect(imported).toBe(1);
     const row = createdRows()[0];
     expect(row).toMatchObject({
@@ -478,7 +478,7 @@ describe("syncUserOura", () => {
     fetchResilienceMock.mockResolvedValue([
       { id: "r", day: "2026-06-10", level: "godlike" },
     ]);
-    const imported = await syncUserOura("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserOura("u1");
     expect(imported).toBe(0);
     expect(reconcileMock).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
   });
@@ -561,10 +561,13 @@ describe("syncUserOura", () => {
       { id: "o", day: "2026-06-10", spo2_percentage: { average: 97 } },
     ]);
 
-    const imported = await syncUserOura("u1");
+    const result = await syncUserOura("u1");
 
-    // The healthy collections still wrote their rows — the source is not blanked.
-    expect(imported).toBe(2);
+    // The healthy collections still wrote their rows — the source is not
+    // blanked — and the partial rides back with the count, so the card can
+    // report a warning rather than a tick over a run that lost a collection.
+    expect(result).toEqual({ imported: 2, failed: true });
+    const imported = result.imported;
     const written = createdRows().map((row) => row.type);
     expect(written).toContain("SLEEP_SCORE");
     expect(written).toContain("OXYGEN_SATURATION");
@@ -596,7 +599,7 @@ describe("syncUserOura", () => {
       { id: "o", day: "2026-06-10", spo2_percentage: { average: 96 } },
     ]);
 
-    const imported = await syncUserOura("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserOura("u1");
 
     expect(imported).toBe(1);
     const written = createdRows().map((row) => row.type);
@@ -620,7 +623,7 @@ describe("syncUserOura", () => {
         reason: "http_403",
       }),
     );
-    const imported = await syncUserOura("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserOura("u1");
     expect(imported).toBe(1);
     expect(recordSuccessMock).toHaveBeenCalledWith("u1", "oura");
     expect(recordFailureMock).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
@@ -647,7 +650,7 @@ describe("syncUserOura", () => {
       { id: "s", day: "2026-06-10", score: 80 },
     ]);
     fetchCyclePhasesMock.mockRejectedValue(new Error("boom"));
-    const imported = await syncUserOura("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserOura("u1");
     expect(imported).toBe(1);
     expect(recordSuccessMock).toHaveBeenCalledWith("u1", "oura");
   });
diff --git a/src/lib/oura/sync.ts b/src/lib/oura/sync.ts
index fd6c1e2ff..4dfefaa83 100644
--- a/src/lib/oura/sync.ts
+++ b/src/lib/oura/sync.ts
@@ -52,6 +52,7 @@ import {
   type InsertedMeasurementArrivalRow,
 } from "@/lib/arrivals/measurement-emit";
 import { invalidateStatusInsightsForTypes } from "@/lib/insights/comprehensive-generate";
+import type { SyncWriteResult } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 import { maybeEnqueueMorningRefresh } from "@/lib/daily/morning-refresh-trigger";
 import {
   sweepStaleSleepSegments,
@@ -411,16 +412,21 @@ async function fetchAll(
 }
 
 /**
- * Sync one user's Oura data. Returns the count of measurement rows written.
- * A user with no Oura connection is a clean no-op (returns 0, touches no
- * status row).
+ * Sync one user's Oura data.
+ *
+ * `imported` is the count of measurement rows written; `failed` is true when a
+ * collection did not settle. The count used to be the whole return value,
+ * which hid the partial: a run where every collection failed answered `0`, the
+ * same as a run that found nothing new, and the settings card reported both as
+ * a success. A user with no Oura connection is a clean no-op (nothing
+ * imported, nothing failed, no status row touched).
  */
 export async function syncUserOura(
   userId: string,
   opts: { lookbackDays?: number } = {},
-): Promise<number> {
+): Promise<SyncWriteResult> {
   const conn = await getOuraConnection(userId);
-  if (!conn) return 0;
+  if (!conn) return { imported: 0, failed: false };
 
   // An explicit window from the caller wins; otherwise derive it from what we
   // already hold so a gap widens the window instead of being skipped over.
@@ -516,11 +522,11 @@ export async function syncUserOura(
           ? String(firstErr.httpStatus)
           : undefined,
     });
-    return imported;
+    return { imported, failed: true };
   }
 
   await recordSyncSuccess(userId, "oura");
-  return imported;
+  return { imported, failed: false };
 }
 
 export async function upsertOuraMeasurements(
diff --git a/src/lib/polar/__tests__/sync.test.ts b/src/lib/polar/__tests__/sync.test.ts
index f5d12ff9c..3a1351d1d 100644
--- a/src/lib/polar/__tests__/sync.test.ts
+++ b/src/lib/polar/__tests__/sync.test.ts
@@ -164,7 +164,7 @@ function createdRows() {
 describe("syncUserPolar", () => {
   it("no-ops cleanly for an unconnected user", async () => {
     getConnMock.mockResolvedValue(null);
-    expect(await syncUserPolar("u1")).toBe(0);
+    expect(await syncUserPolar("u1")).toEqual({ imported: 0, failed: false });
     expect(createManyAndReturnMock).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
     expect(recordSuccessMock).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
   });
@@ -186,7 +186,7 @@ describe("syncUserPolar", () => {
     fetchRechargesMock.mockResolvedValue([
       { date: "2026-06-10", nightly_recharge_status: 6 },
     ]);
-    const imported = await syncUserPolar("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserPolar("u1");
     expect(imported).toBe(1);
     const row = createdRows()[0];
     expect(row).toMatchObject({
@@ -206,7 +206,7 @@ describe("syncUserPolar", () => {
     fetchCardioLoadsMock.mockResolvedValue([
       { date: "2026-06-10", cardio_load: 123.45 },
     ]);
-    const imported = await syncUserPolar("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserPolar("u1");
     expect(imported).toBe(1);
     const row = createdRows()[0];
     expect(row).toMatchObject({
@@ -348,7 +348,7 @@ describe("syncUserPolar", () => {
       { date: "2026-06-10", cardio_load: 42 },
     ]);
 
-    const imported = await syncUserPolar("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserPolar("u1");
 
     // No rethrow now — a fetch failure is isolated per-collection.
     expect(imported).toBe(1);
@@ -397,8 +397,11 @@ describe("syncUserPolar", () => {
       { date: "2026-06-10", cardio_load: 55 },
     ]);
 
-    const imported = await syncUserPolar("u1");
+    const result = await syncUserPolar("u1");
+    const imported = result.imported;
 
+    // The partial rides back with the count rather than being narrowed away.
+    expect(result.failed).toBe(true);
     // The healthy four still wrote their rows — the source is not blanked.
     const written = createdRows().map((row) => row.type);
     expect(written).toContain("RECOVERY_SCORE");
@@ -438,7 +441,7 @@ describe("syncUserPolar", () => {
       { date: "2026-06-10", cardio_load: 77 },
     ]);
 
-    const imported = await syncUserPolar("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserPolar("u1");
 
     expect(imported).toBe(1);
     expect(createdRows().map((row) => row.type)).toContain("CARDIO_LOAD");
@@ -463,7 +466,7 @@ describe("syncUserPolar", () => {
       { start_time: "2026-06-10T00:00:00", steps: 8000 },
     ]);
 
-    const imported = await syncUserPolar("u1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserPolar("u1");
 
     // The sweep never ran — a failed sleep collection pushes no sweep entries.
     expect(updateManyMock).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
diff --git a/src/lib/polar/sync.ts b/src/lib/polar/sync.ts
index e6f62a920..17b6505c5 100644
--- a/src/lib/polar/sync.ts
+++ b/src/lib/polar/sync.ts
@@ -51,6 +51,7 @@ import {
   recomputeBucketsForMeasurement,
 } from "@/lib/rollups/measurement-rollups";
 import { invalidateStatusInsightsForTypes } from "@/lib/insights/comprehensive-generate";
+import type { SyncWriteResult } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 import { maybeEnqueueMorningRefresh } from "@/lib/daily/morning-refresh-trigger";
 import {
   emitInsertedMeasurementArrivals,
@@ -161,9 +162,11 @@ export interface PolarCollectionFailure {
 }
 
 /**
- * Sync one user's Polar data. Returns the count of measurement rows written.
- * A user with no Polar connection is a clean no-op (returns 0, touches no
- * status row).
+ * Sync one user's Polar data. Returns the rows written AND whether a
+ * collection did not settle — the bare count used to narrow the partial away,
+ * so a run whose every collection failed answered the same `0` as a quiet
+ * night. A user with no Polar connection is a clean no-op (nothing imported,
+ * nothing failed, no status row touched).
  *
  * The five vitals collections are settled independently: the healthy ones
  * import, a failing one is recorded as a single partial failure (no success
@@ -171,9 +174,9 @@ export interface PolarCollectionFailure {
  * escapes now is a write-path/unexpected error out of `upsertPolarMeasurements`
  * — the poll-cohort boundary records that unmarked escape once.
  */
-export async function syncUserPolar(userId: string): Promise<number> {
+export async function syncUserPolar(userId: string): Promise<SyncWriteResult> {
   const conn = await getPolarConnection(userId);
-  if (!conn) return 0;
+  if (!conn) return { imported: 0, failed: false };
 
   // Filled by the sleep collection's closure as it maps records; carried so the
   // caller can run the record-scoped sweep before the upsert. A collection that
@@ -301,11 +304,11 @@ export async function syncUserPolar(userId: string): Promise<number> {
           ? String(firstErr.httpStatus)
           : undefined,
     });
-    return imported;
+    return { imported, failed: true };
   }
 
   await recordSyncSuccess(userId, "polar", { leg: POLAR_LEG_VITALS });
-  return imported;
+  return { imported, failed: false };
 }
 
 /**
diff --git a/src/lib/withings/__tests__/sync-measure-watermark.test.ts b/src/lib/withings/__tests__/sync-measure-watermark.test.ts
index c597f80b4..e8f37cd3e 100644
--- a/src/lib/withings/__tests__/sync-measure-watermark.test.ts
+++ b/src/lib/withings/__tests__/sync-measure-watermark.test.ts
@@ -171,10 +171,10 @@ describe("syncUserMeasurements — watermark hold on hard row failure (F4)", ()
       .mockRejectedValueOnce(new Error("connection reset by peer"))
       .mockResolvedValue({} as never);
 
-    const imported = await syncUserMeasurements("user-1");
+    const result = await syncUserMeasurements("user-1");
 
-    // Only the second row persisted.
-    expect(imported).toBe(1);
+    // Only the second row persisted, and the caller is told the run lost one.
+    expect(result).toEqual({ imported: 1, failed: true });
     // The watermark is HELD — no stamp — so the next tick refetches the window.
     expect(prisma.withingsConnection.update).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
     expect(recordSyncSuccess).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
@@ -195,7 +195,7 @@ describe("syncUserMeasurements — watermark hold on hard row failure (F4)", ()
     ] as never);
     vi.mocked(prisma.measurement.create).mockRejectedValueOnce(P2002);
 
-    const imported = await syncUserMeasurements("user-1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserMeasurements("user-1");
 
     // P2002 means the row is already present — nothing lost — so the cycle is
     // still healthy: stamp the watermark + success, record no failure.
@@ -216,7 +216,7 @@ describe("syncUserMeasurements — watermark hold on hard row failure (F4)", ()
       },
     ] as never);
 
-    const imported = await syncUserMeasurements("user-1");
+    const { imported } = await syncUserMeasurements("user-1");
 
     expect(imported).toBe(1);
     expect(prisma.withingsConnection.update).toHaveBeenCalledTimes(1);
diff --git a/src/lib/withings/sync.ts b/src/lib/withings/sync.ts
index 3da585814..fcee1cc7c 100644
--- a/src/lib/withings/sync.ts
+++ b/src/lib/withings/sync.ts
@@ -32,6 +32,7 @@ import {
 } from "@/lib/rollups/measurement-rollups";
 import { invalidateStatusInsightsForTypes } from "@/lib/insights/comprehensive-generate";
 import { invalidateUserDashboardSnapshot } from "@/lib/cache/invalidate";
+import type { SyncWriteResult } from "@/lib/outcome/written-outcome";
 import {
   acquireProviderTokenRefreshLock,
   PROVIDER_REFRESH_TRANSACTION_OPTIONS,
@@ -180,6 +181,9 @@ export const WITHINGS_INCREMENTAL_OVERLAP_MS = 10 * 60 * 1000;
  * Sync measurements from Withings for a given user.
  * Fetches data since last sync (or last 30 days if first sync).
  *
+ * Returns what was written AND whether any part of the run did not land, so
+ * the caller can tell a quiet week apart from a run that refused every row.
+ *
  * Status-tracking contract:
  *   - On any failure (refresh failure, fetch failure, downstream
  *     measurement-upsert that fails ALL items) we call
@@ -193,26 +197,29 @@ export const WITHINGS_INCREMENTAL_OVERLAP_MS = 10 * 60 * 1000;
 export async function syncUserMeasurements(
   userId: string,
   opts: { fullSync?: boolean } = {},
-): Promise<number> {
+): Promise<SyncWriteResult> {
   // Park: if the last burst said reauth_required, do nothing until
-  // the OAuth callback flips state back to "connected". Returning 0
-  // matches the existing contract for "no-op sync".
+  // the OAuth callback flips state back to "connected". The run wrote
+  // nothing AND did not complete, so it reports as a failure — a bare 0
+  // read as "nothing new", which is how a parked connection could keep
+  // answering with a green tick.
   if (await isReauthRequired(userId, "withings")) {
     getEvent()?.addWarning(
       `withings sync skipped for ${userId}: parked at error_reauth`,
     );
-    return 0;
+    return { imported: 0, failed: true };
   }
 
   const tokenInfo = await getValidToken(userId);
   // Note: getValidToken already calls recordSyncFailure on the refresh
   // path, so we don't double-record here.
-  if (!tokenInfo) return 0;
+  if (!tokenInfo) return { imported: 0, failed: true };
 
   const connection = await prisma.withingsConnection.findUnique({
     where: { userId },
   });
-  if (!connection) return 0;
+  // No connection row is not a failure — there is nothing to sync.
+  if (!connection) return { imported: 0, failed: false };
 
   const startDate = opts.fullSync
     ? undefined
@@ -390,7 +397,7 @@ export async function syncUserMeasurements(
       firstRowError ?? new Error("Withings measure row write failed"),
       WITHINGS_LEG_MEASURES,
     );
-    return imported;
+    return { imported, failed: true };
   }
 
   // Update last synced timestamp
@@ -407,7 +414,7 @@ export async function syncUserMeasurements(
     leg: WITHINGS_LEG_MEASURES,
   });
 
-  return imported;
+  return { imported, failed: false };
 }
 
 /**