diff --git a/src/app/api/analytics/route.ts b/src/app/api/analytics/route.ts
index f2f4f730d..bd82bec73 100644
--- a/src/app/api/analytics/route.ts
+++ b/src/app/api/analytics/route.ts
@@ -18,7 +18,7 @@ import {
 } from "@/lib/analytics/bp-in-target-fast-path";
 import { computeUserHealthScoreFastPath } from "@/lib/analytics/health-score-fast-path";
 import { buildHealthScoreBpInputs } from "@/lib/analytics/health-score-inputs";
-import { computeWindowConfidence } from "@/lib/analytics/window-confidence";
+import { deriveBpWindow90 } from "@/lib/analytics/window-confidence";
 import { computeCorrelationHypothesesFastPath } from "@/lib/analytics/correlations-fast-path";
 
 export const dynamic = "force-dynamic";
@@ -327,13 +327,14 @@ async function buildAnalyticsResponse(user: AuthedUser) {
     bpInTargetPctPriorYear = windows.priorYear?.pct ?? null;
     // v1.17 W1b — count + effective span for the BD-Zielbereich tile's
     // confidence gate (thin-data → "collecting data"; dynamic span label).
-    bpInTargetCount90 = windows.last90Days?.pairs ?? 0;
-    bpInTargetSpanDays90 = computeWindowConfidence({
-      windowDays: 90,
-      readingCount: bpInTargetCount90,
-      earliestReadingAt: windows.last90EarliestAt,
+    // Shared helper keeps this identical to the dashboard snapshot.
+    const bpWindow = deriveBpWindow90(
+      windows.last90Days,
+      windows.last90EarliestAt,
       now,
-    }).effectiveSpanDays;
+    );
+    bpInTargetCount90 = bpWindow.count;
+    bpInTargetSpanDays90 = bpWindow.spanDays;
   }
 
   // Per-context glucose summaries (canonical mg/dL).
diff --git a/src/lib/analytics/__tests__/health-score-inputs.test.ts b/src/lib/analytics/__tests__/health-score-inputs.test.ts
index b4ae183d1..214b6d4c5 100644
--- a/src/lib/analytics/__tests__/health-score-inputs.test.ts
+++ b/src/lib/analytics/__tests__/health-score-inputs.test.ts
@@ -85,6 +85,25 @@ describe("buildHealthScoreBpInputs — single Health-Score BP input builder", ()
     expect(out.bpInTargetPct).toBe(100);
   });
 
+  it("suppresses the prior-week graded score when the prior-week window is thin and no all-time rescues it", () => {
+    // Current window healthy, prior-week 90-day window below the floor with no
+    // all-time fallback → the prior-week graded score must not grade off the
+    // thin sample, so the week-over-week graded delta stays consistent.
+    const current = env({
+      last90Days: { pct: 65, pairs: 40 },
+      gradedScore: 72,
+    });
+    const priorWeek = env({
+      last90Days: { pct: 90, pairs: 2 },
+      allTime: null,
+      gradedScore: 95,
+    });
+    const out = buildHealthScoreBpInputs(current, priorWeek);
+    expect(out.bpGradedScore).toBe(72);
+    expect(out.bpInTargetPctPriorWeek).toBeNull();
+    expect(out.bpGradedScorePriorWeek).toBeNull();
+  });
+
   it("collapses every field to null when the current envelope is absent", () => {
     const out = buildHealthScoreBpInputs(null, null);
     expect(out).toEqual({
diff --git a/src/lib/analytics/health-score-inputs.ts b/src/lib/analytics/health-score-inputs.ts
index 2c26382c2..d4919f94e 100644
--- a/src/lib/analytics/health-score-inputs.ts
+++ b/src/lib/analytics/health-score-inputs.ts
@@ -92,12 +92,16 @@ export function buildHealthScoreBpInputs(
   // The graded clinical score is the pillar VALUE; suppress it together with
   // the rate when the 90-day window is thin AND no all-time rate rescues the
   // pillar, so the pillar disappears cleanly instead of grading a thin sample.
+  // The prior-week graded score keys off the PRIOR-WEEK window's own presence
+  // (not the current one) so the week-over-week delta never pairs a confident
+  // current value against a thin-sample prior value.
   const pillarPresent = bpInTargetPct !== null;
+  const priorPillarPresent = bpInTargetPctPriorWeek !== null;
   return {
     bpInTargetPct,
     bpInTargetPctPriorWeek,
     bpGradedScore: pillarPresent ? current.gradedScore : null,
-    bpGradedScorePriorWeek: pillarPresent
+    bpGradedScorePriorWeek: priorPillarPresent
       ? (priorWeek?.gradedScore ?? null)
       : null,
   };
diff --git a/src/lib/analytics/window-confidence.ts b/src/lib/analytics/window-confidence.ts
index f5a4a4219..d49947158 100644
--- a/src/lib/analytics/window-confidence.ts
+++ b/src/lib/analytics/window-confidence.ts
@@ -55,6 +55,27 @@ export interface WindowConfidence {
   sufficient: boolean;
 }
 
+/**
+ * v1.17 W1b — derive the BD-Zielbereich tile's confidence inputs (90-day
+ * pair count + effective label span) from a BP envelope's 90-day window.
+ * Shared by the dashboard snapshot and the `/api/analytics` thick slice so
+ * the two surfaces can never compute the tile's gate or span differently.
+ */
+export function deriveBpWindow90(
+  last90: { pairs: number } | null,
+  last90EarliestAt: Date | null,
+  now: Date,
+): { count: number; spanDays: number | null } {
+  const count = last90?.pairs ?? 0;
+  const spanDays = computeWindowConfidence({
+    windowDays: 90,
+    readingCount: count,
+    earliestReadingAt: last90EarliestAt,
+    now,
+  }).effectiveSpanDays;
+  return { count, spanDays };
+}
+
 /**
  * Compute the effective label span + sufficiency flag for a windowed
  * metric.
diff --git a/src/lib/dashboard/__tests__/snapshot.test.ts b/src/lib/dashboard/__tests__/snapshot.test.ts
index 423d95f02..d621e45a8 100644
--- a/src/lib/dashboard/__tests__/snapshot.test.ts
+++ b/src/lib/dashboard/__tests__/snapshot.test.ts
@@ -142,7 +142,8 @@ describe("buildDashboardSnapshot — envelope shape", () => {
     computeBpInTargetFastPath.mockResolvedValue({
       last7Days: { pct: 70 },
       last30Days: { pct: 80 },
-      last90Days: { pct: 80 },
+      last90Days: { pct: 80, pairs: 20 },
+      last90EarliestAt: new Date("2026-03-01T00:00:00.000Z"),
       allTime: { pct: 75 },
       priorMonth: { pct: 60 },
       priorYear: { pct: 50 },
@@ -183,7 +184,8 @@ describe("buildDashboardSnapshot — envelope shape", () => {
     computeBpInTargetFastPath.mockResolvedValue({
       last7Days: { pct: 70 },
       last30Days: { pct: 80 },
-      last90Days: { pct: 80 },
+      last90Days: { pct: 80, pairs: 20 },
+      last90EarliestAt: new Date("2026-03-01T00:00:00.000Z"),
       allTime: { pct: 75 },
       priorMonth: { pct: 60 },
       priorYear: { pct: 50 },
@@ -240,7 +242,8 @@ describe("buildDashboardSnapshot — per-type thick-phase gate", () => {
     computeBpInTargetFastPath.mockResolvedValue({
       last7Days: { pct: 70 },
       last30Days: { pct: 80 },
-      last90Days: { pct: 80 },
+      last90Days: { pct: 80, pairs: 20 },
+      last90EarliestAt: new Date("2026-03-01T00:00:00.000Z"),
       allTime: { pct: 75 },
       priorMonth: { pct: 60 },
       priorYear: { pct: 50 },
@@ -720,7 +723,8 @@ describe("buildDashboardSnapshot — additive proof", () => {
     computeBpInTargetFastPath.mockResolvedValue({
       last7Days: { pct: 70 },
       last30Days: { pct: 80 },
-      last90Days: { pct: 80 },
+      last90Days: { pct: 80, pairs: 20 },
+      last90EarliestAt: new Date("2026-03-01T00:00:00.000Z"),
       allTime: { pct: 75 },
       priorMonth: { pct: 60 },
       priorYear: { pct: 50 },
diff --git a/src/lib/dashboard/snapshot.ts b/src/lib/dashboard/snapshot.ts
index 343a6968c..b0ecb259e 100644
--- a/src/lib/dashboard/snapshot.ts
+++ b/src/lib/dashboard/snapshot.ts
@@ -51,7 +51,7 @@ import {
   type BpInTargetEnvelope,
 } from "@/lib/analytics/bp-in-target-fast-path";
 import { buildHealthScoreBpInputs } from "@/lib/analytics/health-score-inputs";
-import { computeWindowConfidence } from "@/lib/analytics/window-confidence";
+import { deriveBpWindow90 } from "@/lib/analytics/window-confidence";
 import {
   probeRollupCoverage,
   type RollupCoverageMap,
@@ -502,14 +502,16 @@ async function buildExtras(
     bpInTargetPctAllTime = windows.allTime?.pct ?? null;
     bpInTargetPctPriorMonth = windows.priorMonth?.pct ?? null;
     bpInTargetPctPriorYear = windows.priorYear?.pct ?? null;
-    // v1.17 W1b — count + effective span for the tile's confidence gate.
-    bpInTargetCount90 = windows.last90Days?.pairs ?? 0;
-    bpInTargetSpanDays90 = computeWindowConfidence({
-      windowDays: 90,
-      readingCount: bpInTargetCount90,
-      earliestReadingAt: windows.last90EarliestAt,
+    // v1.17 W1b — count + effective span for the tile's confidence gate,
+    // derived through the shared helper so this surface and `/api/analytics`
+    // can never disagree on the gate or the label span.
+    const bpWindow = deriveBpWindow90(
+      windows.last90Days,
+      windows.last90EarliestAt,
       now,
-    }).effectiveSpanDays;
+    );
+    bpInTargetCount90 = bpWindow.count;
+    bpInTargetSpanDays90 = bpWindow.spanDays;
   }
 
   // Health score — reuses the BP windows captured above plus the
diff --git a/src/lib/validations/__tests__/entry-instant.test.ts b/src/lib/validations/__tests__/entry-instant.test.ts
index 9d0132d94..fdc7fd03d 100644
--- a/src/lib/validations/__tests__/entry-instant.test.ts
+++ b/src/lib/validations/__tests__/entry-instant.test.ts
@@ -87,4 +87,15 @@ describe("validateEntryInstant — Zod integration", () => {
   it("rejects an instant before 1900", () => {
     expect(schema.safeParse("1899-12-31T00:00:00.000Z").success).toBe(false);
   });
+
+  it("emits ONLY the future message for a future instant, not a spurious past-bound error", () => {
+    const future = new Date(Date.now() + 60 * 60 * 1000).toISOString();
+    const r = schema.safeParse(future);
+    expect(r.success).toBe(false);
+    if (!r.success) {
+      const messages = r.error.issues.map((i) => i.message);
+      expect(messages).toContain("Timestamp must not be in the future");
+      expect(messages.some((m) => /past|1900/.test(m))).toBe(false);
+    }
+  });
 });
diff --git a/src/lib/validations/entry-instant.ts b/src/lib/validations/entry-instant.ts
index aa641aee9..8af95c19e 100644
--- a/src/lib/validations/entry-instant.ts
+++ b/src/lib/validations/entry-instant.ts
@@ -93,14 +93,24 @@ export function validateEntryInstant<T extends z.ZodType<Date>>(
       ? "Timestamp is too far in the past"
       : "Timestamp must not predate 1900");
   return schema
+    .refine((d) => d.getTime() <= Date.now() + ENTRY_INSTANT_CLOCK_SKEW_MS, {
+      message: "Timestamp must not be in the future",
+    })
     .refine(
-      (d) =>
-        d.getTime() <= Date.now() + ENTRY_INSTANT_CLOCK_SKEW_MS,
-      { message: "Timestamp must not be in the future" },
-    )
-    .refine(
-      (d) =>
-        isPlausibleEntryInstant(d, { ...bounds, now: Date.now() }),
+      // Past-floor check ONLY — a future instant already fails the refine
+      // above, and re-running the full plausibility predicate here would
+      // make a future-dated value emit BOTH messages (the second being a
+      // nonsensical "too far in the past"). Compare against the floor alone.
+      (d) => d.getTime() >= pastFloorMs(bounds),
       { message: pastMessage },
     ) as T;
 }
+
+/** Resolve the effective past floor (ms) for the given bounds at call time. */
+function pastFloorMs(bounds: Omit<EntryInstantBounds, "now">): number {
+  if (bounds.maxAgeMs === undefined) return ENTRY_INSTANT_FAR_PAST.getTime();
+  return Math.max(
+    ENTRY_INSTANT_FAR_PAST.getTime(),
+    Date.now() - bounds.maxAgeMs,
+  );
+}